Day: November 2, 2004

I’m going to skip Ohio. I’m calling the election. It’s Bush: we’re done.
Update: But if you’re still paying attention, Bush just squeaked ahead of Kerry in Iowa.
10:12 pm: “Wizbang Calls Election For Bush”
11:00 pm: And I’m heading to bed. The Electoral College is a done deal; now the question is what Bush’s margin in the popular vote will be. It looks quite promising to be 51% or above, but there’s still a lot of votes to be counted here in California. So that’ll be what I check in the morning. But for now, I’m out. Have a good night, all!

CNN has Bush at EV.
New Mexico is 74% reported, and breaking 51% – 48% Bush. If it, and Ohio hold (83% reporting, Bush 51% – Kerry 48%), that’s 25 EVs to put Bush over the top — and that’s all she wrote.

If I’m reading it correctly, it appears that stock is crashing on the Iowa Electronic Market.
The REP04_L52 contract, denoting a Bush win with less than 52% of the vote, is now trading at 0.815, with REP04_G52 (a Bush win with greater than 52% of the vote) trading at 0.140.
Kerry’s DEM04_L52 is at 0.055, and DEM04_G52 is now a penny stock, at 0.006.

Kevin thinks its time to call Ohio. I’m not quite there yet….
Update: Whoops. With 74% reporting, the Bush lead in Ohio has closed to 51% – 49%. Stop that.

Florida now has of precincts reporting, Bush is up 52% to 47%. And still nobody has the guts to call it.
‘Cept me and Jeff, that is!
Update: 96%! They really are going to wait until 100% have reported, aren’t they?
Update again: And Kevin!
Finally: OK, now ABC and CBS are calling it for Bush…

I’ve suddenly figured out something of vital importance to blogosphere’s ongoing struggle against the evil forces of Big Media. It occurs to me that the MSM has finally discovered a strategy to get troublesome bloggers to stop blogging: invite them to appear on TV and then stash them in the studio, from their comfy blogging environments.
Glenn seems to be soldiering bravely on, but from listening to his appearance on Hugh Hewitt’s election coverage tonight, I’m afraid John Hinderaker may have been effectively neutralized by MSNBC, who apparently have had him stashed in a studio since 3pm for only a few minutes of airtime.
On the plus side, NBC also got Wonkette. Every cloud, silver lining, etc…
Update: I told you so!

I’ll second call on Florida. TTLB calls it for Bush.
CNN shows Bush up 52 – 47 with 85% of precincts reporting, including the majority of Kerry-leaning Miami-Dade and Palm Beach Counties. Any state which hadn’t done its best Bolivia impression in 2000 would have been called by the networks an hour ago.

You know, all this waiting is actually kind of boring. Anybody got a deck of cards?

Vanessa Kerry, on MSNBC, describing how character attacks drive young people away from politics: “It’s sort of a bummer, if you’ll take a colloquialism.”
I love it when the elite “get down” verbally with us….

I hereby take Jarvis’s Post-Election Peace Pledge:
After the election results are in, I promise to:
: Support the President, even if I didn’t vote for him.
: Criticize the President, even if I did vote for him.
: Uphold standards of civilized discourse in blogs and in media while pushing both to be better.
: Unite as a nation, putting country over party, even as we work together to make America better.
…with my only qualification being that I pledge to uphold my standards of civilized discourse, not anybody else’s. For a man who loves Howard Stern, sometimes Jeff’s standards can be a bit lofty for a humble bear such as I…

Folks: I’ve collecting as many election-day web resources as I can find and listed them below. Please add additional resources to the comments / via TrackBacks, and I’ll continue to update this page throughout the day.
Results Tracking: Blogs & LittleMedia
Results 2004 Page: A nice clean single-page listing of all state’s results.
Electoral-Vote.com: “I will stay up all night election night and update the site in real time. I am NOT promising to stay up until we know who the president is. I would definitely like to go to bed sometime during the month of November…”
RealClearPolitics
ElectionAtlas.org
TownHall.com
Results Tracking: Big Media
MSNBC
CNN
FoxNews
The New York Times
The Washington Post
USA Today
Note: Some of the BigMedia pages are their generic election pages; I’ll update them to point to their results pages when they post them.
Blog Coverage
The Command Post: Detailed group-blog coverage including bloggers from every state.
ElectionHell.com: More voting fraud coverage than you can possibly tolerate.
The Horserace Blog
FraudWatch at Backcountry Conservative
Note: I’m not listing individual bloggers unless the blog’s explicit focus is the election (i.e. ElectionHell), as I’m assuming pretty much everybody is blogging today.
UPDATE: I am also maintaining a simplified version of this listing suitable for use as a Mozilla or IE sidebar: electionsidebar.html.
For Mozilla, you can make this into a sidebar by:
1) Bookmarking it
2) Opening your Bookmarks folder by selecting Bookmarks->Manage Bookmarks
3) Highlight the bookmark you just created by left-clicking once.
4) Right-click for the menu and select Properties
5) Check the box which says ‘Load this Bookmark in the Sidebar’
For Internet Explorer, bookmark the following link: TTLB Election Tracker
For Opera: I have no clue! I don’t use Opera. Can anybody who does offer suggestions / instructions?

Last Thursday, The New York Times published weblog story which included the following statement:
“A recent posting on DailyKos, a liberal Web site visited by more than 500,000 people daily, according to blog rankings posted on a site called The Truth Laid Bear…”
Friday, I contacted the Times requesting a correction, as the quote misrepresents what the SiteMeter “daily visits” tracked on my listing really means. But as the exchange I posted showed, I was unable to convince Bill Borders of the Times that a correction was needed.
After Glenn, Jeff, and Bill posted on the matter, I forwarded their comments to Bill and to the NYT’s Public Editor, Daniel Okrent.
And finally, yesterday: results! Bill Borders replied once again, and said: “I finally got an explanation that I understand, from the research director of the New York Times Web site, and now — belatedly — I see the point you were making. So I think now that we probably DO need a correction. Thanks for your patience. ”
So keep an eye on the Corrections page, and credit the Times for being willing to learn; albeit a bit slowly.
Update: The correction has been published.