I’m going to go on record and predict that the Boat Veterans kerfuffle won’t just be a major negative for Kerry: it will be a campaign-killer. One thing that those of us who spend far too much time hyperanalyzing politics and world events tend to forget is that for the general public, stories like this are absorbed only as vague and general impressions.
Up until now, Kerry has gotten a pass on his Vietnam time: the general impression has been “He talks about it too much, but he was some kind of war hero back in Vietnam”. Now, there’s an alternate perspective: “Not only does he talk about it too much, but he’s actually a liar.” From the 10,000 foot view of the average voter, the Swifties don’t have to prove their case in a court of law for Kerry to take damage: they just have to throw a bit of doubt onto the lily-white image he’s portrayed thus far. In that, they’ve already succeeded.
But it’s not that bad: it’s actually much worse. The biggest problem for Kerry is that the Swifties’ attacks confirm what we really want to believe about him anyway. He’s been so damned annoying about his Vietnam record that we secretly want to think the worst of him, and now the Swifties have provided a rational basis for that gut-level irritation that Kerry inspires when he blathers on about his war record. This isn’t just bad for Kerry, it’s disasterous: the amorphous negative that normal people have when exposed to Kerry’s “leadership, courage, and sacrifice” / “three purple hearts” mantra now has a core of fact — or at least, alleged fact — around which to crystalize.
Unless Kerry’s campaign manages to completely discredit the Swifties — which seems increasingly unlikely — the campaign is over; Kerry is done. And after Election Day has passed, I expect that anyone looking backwards will wonder why in the world the Democrats ever thought making Kerry’s Vietnam service a centerpiece was a good idea in the first place.
Category: Main
Giving new meaning to “hit counter”
CNN: Qaeda suspect reveals Web strategy
Apparently, it involves picking fights online with higher-traffic terrorist web sites, sucking-up online to higher-traffic terrorist web sites, and e-mailing Glenn alot.
Maybe not that last part.
Senator Ted: People Suck
On a more serious note, I couldn’t help but pause when I heard this nugget from Ted last night:
“There’s a reason why this land was called ‘the American experiment.’ If dedication to the common good were hardwired into human nature, we would never have needed a revolution. If each of us cared about the public interest, we wouldn’t have the excesses of Enron. We wouldn’t have the abuses of Halliburton. And Vice President Cheney would be retired to an undisclosed location.”
Leave aside the tortured rhetorical right-turn into Cheney-bashing, and just focus on those first sentences. The good Senator expresses a rather grim view of human nature, doesn’t he?
If you truly believe that each of us has no interest in the common good; that we don’t care about the public interest — well, I guess some of the nanny-state policies so dear to the hearts of Democrats actually do start to make some sense.
Me, I’ll stick to believing that most people are basically decent, and that left to their own devices they’ll generally do just fine at behaving like moral people with some concern for their fellow citizens. And I’ll thank Senator Ted for the illuminating — if disturbing — glimpse into his own dark view of humanity — and himself.
And he means it, too
Kennedy, at the convention today: “We bear no ill will toward our opponents. In fact, we’d be happy to have them over for a polite little tea party. I know just the place: right down the road at Boston Harbor.”
Call me crazy, but is it really such a good idea for Ted Kennedy to be making vaguely threatening comments involving bodies of water?
Not that you asked, but…
Not to backseat-blog or anything, but here’s a bit of advice for my colleagues who actually travelled to the convention:
a) Get the hell out of “blogger alley”
b) Stop talking to each other
c) Stop pictures of each other
d) Stop simulblogging speeches that are being covered live by television.
e) Stop doing interviews with big media. (Yes, even fake big media).
This has been a public service announcement. Please resume blogging.
War of the Memes Goes Mainstream
Glenn to David Brooks’ observation that the 9/11 report makes a clear statement about what we are actually fighting:
We are facing, the report notes, a loose confederation of people who believe in a perverted stream of Islam that stretches from Ibn Taimaya to Sayyid Qutb. Terrorism is just the means they use to win converts to their cause.
It seems like a small distinction – emphasizing ideology instead of terror – but it makes all the difference, because if you don’t define your problem correctly, you can’t contemplate a strategy for victory. . . .
As I reminded Glenn (and he kindly linked to), I addressed very similar themes in my post The War of the Memes, way back in 2002. In my opinion, it is probably the best piece of blog writing I’ve done to date (for whatever that’s worth), so I’ll take any excuse to refer folks back to it. Take a look; if you find it worthless, you probably shouldn’t bother coming back around these parts, because I’m unlikely to get much better than that… 🙂
-NZB
Convention Blogging Resources – II
At the moment, I’m pretty convinced that better coders than I have quite adequately provided the kind of convention portal sites that I was considering hacking together. I might still toss something up if I see a gap (suggestions welcome), but for the moment, I’ll be watching the following:
Dave Winer’s which presents the latest posts from convention bloggers, and also has a combined XML feed for the more feed-inclined. (Only downside: I think any bloggers who don’t have an XML feed won’t show up here; though I don’t know if there actually are any). Dave also has a page with just images, although as he warns, “There are already some nipples visible in the flow. If you’re under 18, please avert your eyes. ” — i.e., may not always be safe for work depending on what bloggers choose to toss up.
Feedster’s politics page, now showing “The Latest in Today’s Politics from the Official DNC Bloggers.”
Cyberjournalist.net has the most exhaustive list I’ve seen of both the credentialed bloggers, and other bloggers who were either disinvited or are attending in other capacities.
And the aforementioned Technorati Politics Page — still yet to be unveiled!
Convention Blogging Resources
Folks:
I’m looking to find out if:
a) Anyone has collected a full list of bloggers going to the convention next week
b) Anyone is planning on providing a resource page to link to the work of those bloggers.
I see the Dave Sifray and the Technorati crew are now up with CNN and planning a politics page, but they haven’t released it yet so I’m not sure precisely what it will contain.
And yes, I’m considering what I might be able to do to provide such a portal, if nobody else is stepping up to the plate. Feedback is welcome as to whether this would be useful.
Thanks all!
Oh, did I forget to mention I’m under criminal investigation?
So help me think through this. Sandy Berger has been investigation since October of last year, and it appears he knew about it. He’s acting as an advisor to the Kerry campaign. Choose the option that most likely describes reality:
A) Berger told the Kerry campaign he was under investigation, and the campaign saw no reason to worry about it and distance Kerry from Berger. Conclusion: the Kerry campaign is run by idiots.
B) Berger did not tell the Kerry campaign he was under investigation. Conclusion: Berger concealed vital political information from his party’s Presidential campaign. Corollary: Berger is not just careless with classified information, but is also an idiot.
There is more to this story, of course: I hardly know where to start with all the things that don’t make sense. But if anyone can see a scenario other than the two above that could possibly fit the facts, chime right in…
Who Watches The Watchers?
The LA Times’ Alex Jones disapprovingly at bloggers in what Stephen Green accurately describes as a hit piece yesterday, tut-tutting that simply because bloggers have credentials for the conventions, that doesn’t make them real live Journalists-with-a-capital-J.
Jones’ is right to be worried, but not for the reasons he expresses in his column. The convention coverage provided by bloggers will be significant and interesting not because it will reveal anything all that exciting about our political process. It will be interesting because it will reveal a great deal about our media process.
For the first time, we will have a large group of Pro-Fessional Journ-O-Lists and bloggers working the same event in close proximity. Sure, the blogger’s initial focus will be on the pols and their staged rituals and behind-the-scenes antics. But I predict that much of the most compelling coverage from our colleagues journeying to New York and Boston will come when they turn their attention to the parallel shadow dance that our press corps performs alongside the public, visible routines of the political operators. Want to know how that news sausage is made? You are about to find out.
They may not know it yet, but the bloggers aren’t there to cover the convention. They are there to cover the journalists. So my advice to Mr. Jones, and any other pro journalist out there venturing to the conventions: I suggest you put on your best suit. You are being watched.
Alliance Blogrolls Working Again
Believe it or not, I think I’ve finally implemented sufficient validation / cleanup code to restore all alliance blogrolls to working order. The biggest problem actually seemed to be some blogs which included carriage-returns in their titles, which messed up the Javascript code.
All blogrolls should now be working; if they aren’t, please comment here…
Democratic Convention: Capacity Problem? What Capacity Problem?
So the Democrats quite a bit of heat for “disinviting” some bloggers who had been told they would be credentialed for the convention. The Democrats claimed an oversight about the capacity available; Jeff Jarvis quotes today’s New York Times editorial on the subject which suggests about 20 bloggers were turned away.
Well, apparently they found a few more spots, because there are now five slots open and reserved for bloggers — or anyone else — who win a fundraising contest:
To celebrate the beginning of the Campaign for a New Majority and the launch of Majority Makers, we are giving away FIVE TRIPS TO THE DEMOCRATIC CONVENTION IN BOSTON!
That’s right, the top five “NetRoots” fundraisers on Majority Makers will receive a Convention package, including:
Round trip transportation to Boston;
Four nights accommodations in Boston;
Convention credentials; and,
An invitation to a very special convention event.
I guess we have to conclude that using those five slots to “un-dis-invite” 25% of the bloggers that were jerked around either didn’t occur to them, or was deemed not worth the effort.
I received the heads-up on this campaign via a DCCC email titled “Got credentials?”, which read:
This program strikes us a perfect fit for the blogosphere, which knows well that George W. Bush couldn
New Blog Showcase: Simon’s World
I’m pleased to see that Simon at World has decided to pick up where I have left off with the New Blog Showcase: he has declared his own showcase open for business. So go check it out!
A fine start
Congratulations to the team on this morning’s successful test flight!
Not quite in Mr. Harriman’s class yet, Mr. Rutan — but I have high hopes! Keep it up…
Spirit of America
I’m back from a rather hectic business period and — heaven forbid — a little mini-vacation time.
My task of the moment is digging out from underneath my real work, but while you are waiting for me to a) share pearls of bloggy wisdom or b) fix the damned Ecosystem, go visit of America and do something. Jim Hake and his crew are on a major push to expand their operations o’ benevolence, and they need your help.
More thoughts later, but for now you can enjoy Jeff’s on your way there…
Democrats: Bloggers Welcome!
Just got an email from the Democrats, stating that they will be issuing press credentials to bloggers for their in Boston:
The Democratic National Convention Committee is pleased to announce that for the first time ever, bloggers will be offered Convention access through the official media credentialing process.
Because the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston is less than 90 days away and space is extremely limited, we encourage those interested in this first-ever opportunity to act now. To apply to cover the 2004 Democratic National Convention as a blogger, you will need to submit applications to both the Senate Periodical Press Gallery AND the Democratic National Convention Committee (DNCC) Press Gallery before the May 28th deadline.
The instructions are a bit confusing though: as you can see, they say you must first apply to the Senate Periodical Press Gallery for credentials, but the way I read their requirements it seems like no “pure blogger” would qualify. But they then note that “Bloggers who do not receive convention credentials through the Congressional galleries can still apply to the Democratic National Convention Committee Press Gallery at http://www.dems2004.org/pressgallery.”
I’ve sent an email back asking for clarification on the process; will post an update if/when I receive it. But regardless of procedural complications, kudos to the Dems for opening up to the blogging crowd…
Update: The DNC is truly learning to operate on ‘net time: I already received a response to my query from Mike Liddell:
“As I understand it, the Senate press gallery requested that we send bloggers through them, in addition to our press gallery, even though bloggers don’t fall within their normal guidelines. I can confirm that if you give me a day or two.
The short story is that blogging is such a new medium that there isn’t a standard way to credential bloggers just yet. But we’re working to make it as streamlined as possible.”
I’ll update again if more info comes in.
P.S. – I also sent an email to the RNC convention contact email, asking if they are prepared to make the same offer to bloggers. Will let you know what they say!
P.P.S. – I’d better be careful with this asking-questions-and-writing-about-the-answers thing; somebody might accuse me of doing actual reporting.
Update 5/6: Initial response received from the RNC: “Good question, we shall check. Thank you for contacting the RNC.”
Stay tuned!
Update 5/6 (b) : How much would you pay for your favorite blogger to cover one or both conventions? It strikes me that this is an excellent opportunity for “pay-for-coverage” trips where a blogger solicits dollars from their readers in exchange for a pledge to use those funds to cover the convention. (And no, I’m not interested in actually going myself, so this isn’t about little old me). So if you’d be willing to fork out a little dinero to have one of your fave’s do the coverage: speak up! They might say yes…
Sympathy for the General
My favorite Anne Garrels is back in Iraq and this time, has chosen to seek out the most unfortunate Iraqis to interview; those most unfairly impacted by the war. Those who, through no fault of their own, now find themselves shut out of the post-war process.
Yes, I’m talking about The-High-Point-Was-Realizing- The-U.S.-Was-Screwing-Up Garrels, and it is that victimhood that defines them. Certainly not any of their, you know, actions…
Can Catholic Cardinals Cancel Kerry Communion?
Isn’t the Catholic Church Kerry a huge favor by starting to make noises that Catholic politicians who, like Kerry, support abortion rights are not fit to receive Communion?
Finally, an issue that even Kerry is unlikely to waffle on and can demonstrate Strong Moral Character in his steadfast — but respectful! — disagreement with his Church. He’s the new Andrew Sullivan, only liberal, and straight!
Let’s be serious; would anybody even remember Kerry actually is Catholic if the Church hadn’t reminded us? This is just the thing to convince the large swath of Church-going America that Kerry views his faith as something more than a line item on his resum
Should Get You On A Quiz Show. Speciality: The Bleedin’ Obvious
Looks like the AP is focusing on Headlines of the Obvious this morning:
Airport screeners perform poorly
Jackson’s attorneys say star is innocent
Who would have thought?
More on Citizen’s Media
More from
As various of us try to enable and encourage weblogs and citizens media — and I’m one of those — I also try to stay mindful that we can’t ‘mold it into our image of what we think it should be. It will be what it wants to be — that’s the whole point. Now if we can help it along that path (with technology or financial support or education or attention) great. But the beauty of citizens’ media is that it is what it wants to be, not what somebody else wants it to be.
And the “what it will be” is plural, not singular, which is the most important response to those who have met the idea of the Citizen’s Media Association with scorn.
Unlike traditional media like television where essentially, all TV programming has evolved into a single standard model, weblogs and other ‘net media don’t have to — and shouldn’t. The ideas being put forth for the CMA are part of one vision of what this medium can be — but there can, and should, be a wide spectrum of different approaches to weblogs going forward.
Like the idea of having a trade association to help you? Go the CMA route. Prefer to be an anonymous blogger just chipping in your $0.02 however you feel like it with no one else to tell you what to do? Do that. The different visions don’t really have to compete; they complement…